The National Science Board rolled out Science and Engineering Indicators (SEI) 2008 today - a biennial report on the state of science and engineering research and education in the United States.
The report also documents public attitudes about science and technology - and there are some observations-albeit few of them-regarding space.
For example, the report notes that, while support for federal research investment is at historically high levels, other kinds of federal spending generate even stronger public support.
Support for increased spending is greater in numerous program areas, including education (73%), health care (72%), assistance to the poor (68%), environmental protection (67%), and Social Security (61%)," the report explains.
And here's a kick-in-the-head for space fans: "Scientific research ranks about on a par with mass transit (38%) and well ahead of space exploration (14%) and assistance to foreign countries (10%) in the proportion of the U.S. population favoring increased spending."
The SEI report also points out that television and the Internet are Americans' primary sources of science and technology information. While the Internet is favored below the TV tube for info, "to learn about specific scientific issues, more than half of Americans choose the Internet as their main information source."
Well, can' t say as this is really too surprising seeing how NASA does not make itself to appealing. Presidential candidates also do not place space exploration in high regard. Is this a sign of things to come in the near future?
Speaking of presidential candidates--or former ones, atleast. Former President Bill Clinton is giving a short talk tonight at the Redwood Acres Fairground, just up the street from my house in Eureka, CA. I briefly entertained the notion of going to listen--but by the time I got off from work at 4pm there was already about a thousand people there waiting to get in, and they're only letting in 400. Oh well...
No...Space isn't a really hot political item. It's too easy to keep going over the same old, same old--God knows we have enough "Same Old" problems in this country! Solutions of any one of those problems will be tough, but we need to solve all of them concurrently! And the only way we can do that is by growing the economy to naturally increase our tax revenues. And only by investing heavily in growth generating, high technology sectors--one of which is stimulated by the Space Program--will we ever achieve solutions for all of the big problems facing the United States.
It's a little frustrating to see all these candidates spinning their wheels--and nobody's really proposing an integrated solution...as a nation we have to figure out a way to come up with a national healthcare system (ka-ching--about 1 Trillion dollars there;) we need to become energy independent (ka--ching another trillion dollars!) we need to develop a domestic alternative to overseas petroleum for transportation fuels (high hundreds of billions to about 1 Trillion dollars) and we need to pay of our national debt (somewhere between 4 and 8 Trillion.) Oh yeah, and pay for a space program (currently about 60 billion dollars every 4 years.)
In space, there are plentiful resources for energy and materials to supply humanity for thousands of years, maybe even tens of thousands...
The easiest and least costly, and yet *surprisingly* the most valuable resouce that we can bring to Earth from space is Energy...and the next most valuable resource is platinum group metals which are "Energy Enablers" because they allow for the creation of catalysts which allows for widespread use of fuel cell powered vehicles. Now supposedly fuel cell vehicles are a big priority because of concerns over global warming--fine! Space derived PGM's can supply the demand and potentially most of the energy...
Space exploration and exploitation will be critical to humanity's long term survival, and space nuclear energy systems for both propulsion and power will be critical enabling technologies in humanity's quest to achieve these goals. Until this is generally recognized by the public, candidates will continue to turn a blind eye to it...
Politicians are notoriously nearsighted--they cannot see past the next election. And that is a pity--we need all the politicians that have the longest views and thus humanity's best interests in mind. We have to look at the biggest picture: not just here-now, but there-then--and until we start thinking in terms of generations down the road, we are doomed to spin our collective wheels in the quagmire of our current situation!
Historically space has really been pushed by authoritarian systems. The Nazi's got us to first base with the V-2. Then the Soviets launched the space race. Sure we won but we would probably never done it with out their initial push. So we will have to perhaps wait for some other authoritarian system to launch the next phase. Perhaps the Chinese? The other hope is the private sector but I still think the economies of scale don't favor that.
The main issue, is that space is just isn't that important right now. Right now, what is important are energy production and storage, possibly the type that is less dependent on prehistoric slime. The problems of Global Warming, as unlikely it may seem its existence, is also not to be ignored.
I have high hopes for the civil industry, but the problem is that its still in very much in its infancy. Rockets are very sensitive and complex technologies, especially the type that people can go into and come back alive.
Thing is, that concentrating on technologies for energy is very important short them, and very likely long term. If we were to solve that problem, a glimmer of light for rockets may present itself. Thing is, we only know how to make chemical-based rocket motors, and even with those we are exploring their limits. Everybody on this board knows that the answer is nuclear, thing is, that we still have problems with that. Problems we have to focus on, like breeding fuel and developing better compounds to store trans-uranic fissile material. These technologies are still on the drawing board.
In space, there are plentiful resources for energy and materials to supply humanity for thousands of years, maybe even tens of thousands...
There is the small problem that with our current technologies, it costs more to get the resources then what we gain from trying to access them.
We are using what are essentially glorified and overcomplicated afterburners to get into LEO, and getting there is a stretch as it is.
Politicians are notoriously nearsighted--they cannot see past the next election. And that is a pity--we need all the politicians that have the longest views and thus humanity's best interests in mind. We have to look at the biggest picture: not just here-now, but there-then--and until we start thinking in terms of generations down the road, we are doomed to spin our collective wheels in the quagmire of our current situation!
"Politics is about making answers to questions that are completely different then those asked." -Arthur Bandalo
If politics was ever about keeping the future of the country/nation/polis in mind, then we would be living in a better world.
Politics is more about the self-interest of powerful entities, both wealthy corporations and countries. Not only that but as well as preserving the status quo that these powerful entities benefit from and preventing or slowing its change so they can adopt.
Putting somebody in charge that actually thinks the way you state will not stay in office for long, or will have his/her hands tied quite quickly. People have to be taught the hard way of the realities this age is facing, whether they like it or not.
...unfortunately, the stakes are so high that the country is in danger of failing...
this sounds particularly 'alarmist' but I feel it is not. The United States exists as a 'circulatory system' of roads where tractor-trailer rigs are like blood cells. If the price of fuel gets to the point that the trucks stop running (or if there is a disruption in petroleum supply,) then no one will get their groceries. Having worked for 10 years in the retail food business has made me acutely aware of this one fact: that there is only about a 1-2 day supply of perishable product on the shelves at any one time. If the trucks stop, then under normal *ordinary* buying, grocery stores will begin to run out of many things in 1-2 days, will be severely depleted in 2-4 days, and will be pretty much out of business in 5 days. And that is normal consumption--panic buying could easily accelerate this schedule by 3-4 times...
It's scary if you think about it. And then I think about grocery stores around the world--all of them must operate pretty much the same as the one I work in Northern California...
That's the world we live in. That's the one we need to think about. And that's the one that our Candidates must become familiar with. We all take our groceries for granted. I used to too. Not anymore...
I kinda tend to agree. PANIC is not where N. America needs to go. My neighbourhood in Florida after a hurricane was without electrical power for a week, no petrol, no access to money, eating canned food and drinking water from the bathtub to flushing your toilet. That feeling of urgent survival for different age groups is a huge stress-it's a freaky 'Katrina' thing.
The problem is somebody has to step forward soon to begin a correction on the massive economic imbalance otherwise you will have a 'run on banks'. In order to stabilize you must deal with health and housing now, it's triage dealing with the least urgent problems first meaning reduce the international military footprint. Issue debt free legal tender or bring back the 'Greenback' 'Lincoln dollar' backed in silver. Freeze prices and low loan interest rates for 5 years. Drop the personal income tax for 5 years only tax goods bought. If you are in the industry of energy or fuel production you get tax break if you participate in the nation's energy self-sufficeincy program. Reduce and freeze medical care costs-children get mandatory free medical care and education. Make voting mandatory allow for list voting for open participation in the political process.
For high tech space exploration: NASA needs to be dropped. Space technology needs to get back to its roots make it a non-profit society at the service of assisting companies and industry push into space and making it a real space industry instead of the fake one we have now!
I hardly think things are all that bad. In the event of a serious oil disruption priority would be given to the trucks over private cars. There really isn't that much use of diesel in cars anyway and the semi's don't fuel at the same stations the cars do. So this would be easy to control. Air travel would be restricted with many fights cancelled. Gasoline would be rationed to bring down cost and maintain broader access. Of course we would be in a economic depression. But, most people would live. I guess concerns about global warming would be greatly reduced in influence politically. It would be the end for these anti-drilling politicans too.
The current leadership is living in a fools paradise and by that I mean the dominate U.S. governing class which include Bush, Clinton, Obama, McCain, etc. They advoce using our corn crops to make ethanol which is driving up the cost of food and providing little net energy. They buy into the human-caused global warming theory but don't push strongly for nuclear energy. They advocate hydrogen cars but where do they expect to get the energy to make hydrogen? This is all reactive small thinking leadership.
When Bush is willing to rush into Iraq and Obama is willing to just pull out just as thoughtlessly we have a serious problem. The only thing that is likely to cause a major oil disruption in the next few years would be a rapid withdrawl form Iraq. (Not saying that we should have gone in the first place but we don't get "do-overs"!) Iran has to be held back until internal political change may result in a more moderate government.
Hopefully, Hillary Clinton will get the Democrat nomination. Then even if the Democrats win we will be able to avoid disaster here. My theory is that she is lying about her withdrawl position to get the nomination. Once in office she "will find the things are different that she thought" plus our phase transistion to Iraqi home rule should be underway by that time.
On the issue of NASA, I don't see how you can have a serious manned space program without the government. It just too big and too long term for private industry. We do need some major reforms but they main thing is lack of money to do anything. So what you have is a bureaucracy trying to keep its jobs in place.
The current leadership is living in a fools paradise and by that I mean the dominate U.S. governing class which include Bush, Clinton, Obama, McCain, etc.
Yea...I agree.
This is how it's going down:
The Dems pick the ticket at the end of the convention last minute selection:
Clinton will bail if there's even the slightest hint she may not win the nomination. Dems are too scared she may seem polarizing to the voting public in a general election.
If it's an Obama-Edwards ticket this would send the Republican to a tough choice they would have to match the blockbuster duo for change. This is outside the comfort zone of republicans. They will select at the convention floor last minute.
1st choice: Huckabee(p)-Paul(vp)
If dems choose a status quo ticket:
2nd choice: McCain(p)-Romney(vp)
The winner is Dems, Obama(p)-Edwards(vp)-on a recount!
Whoever is in the White house will be presiding over a confederated Iraq that has seeked it own level of stability. Meaning the three zones will have its own jurisdiction: sunni-saudi, shia-Iran, kurds-Turkey with district of Baghdad being a loose government coordinator.
On NASA bureaucracy, it will die on the vine as soon as the the ISS contact is over.
The Shuttle will retire and so will NASA-hopefully it should be out of space activity only keep aeronautics and testing facilities. All space activity should be tranfered to the space-NPO. The shuttle with modifications should be run by the NPO. Ares-Orion can continue but not under total LockMart control.
I don't think that Obama and Edwards have any real solutions either. Actually I think the bloom is off of Obama now that the Clinton machine is going after him. Granted that the Clinton's are resorting to base racial politics and playing the "woman card" but it worked in New Hampshire and she was 10 points down going into the last day. It also worked in Nevada.
Most likely Obama will win South Carolina next week just because of the strong black vote in the Democrat primary. But I don't think its quite the driver that South Carolina has been traditionally for Republicans. I still think that Clinton will win the Democrat nomination on a first ballot. I sort of think that she may go with Richardson for VP as a big Latino play. The blacks will vote Democrat anyway but the Latino's are in play between 25-40 Republican. She an hope to pull it down to the lower figure with Richardson. Also, Richardson is a faithful Clinton minion while Obama is an independent rival.
On the Republican side it is not unlikely that there will be no choice until the convention as the "Ultra-Tuesday" national primary would allow the normal weed out process. Thompson is really finished today. He may stay in for a while but I doubt it. But, there still are four main candidates plus Paul that are funded and in the race through Feb 5. I really doubt that anyone will get 50% of the delegates before the convention. So we are taking deals and/or open convention.
The big unknown is Bloomberg. It seems to me that he is about to launch a major third party run. This is more likely if Clinton locks up the nomination by March. With Clinton having high negative an the Republican in disarray, and his ego he would likely go for it. He might even anyway with his ego!
My thought is that he would be the most "green" and "liberal" person in the race and could do for the Democrats what Perot did for the Republican in 1992. This could deliver states like California, Michigan, Pennyslvania, and New Jersey to the Republicans.
Paul will most likely end up running as the Libertarian candidate. I think he was just running in the Republican race to increase his support for the general election. His hope is to draw disaffected Republican into the Libertarian camp.
Of course there is a possibility that the public like sheep will fall in line behind McCain. It is also possible that the Obama win in S.C. next week might give him momentum going into Ultra-Tuesday defeating Clinton or allowing Edwards to be the King/Queen maker. He might throw his support to Obama for VP or more likely Attorney General. I still think that I'd bet on the Clinton machine. They are good at what they do! (Not for the country however)
On the Iraq thing I wouldn't expect it to be so stable. I could see Iran, Turkey, and some sort of Sunni Arab alliance facing off and battling it out after we leave as well as a regional nuclear arms race.
Paul will most likely end up running as the Libertarian candidate. I think he was just running in the Republican race to increase his support for the general election. His hope is to draw disaffected Republican into the Libertarian camp.
Nope...I think Paul is the tail wagging the dog. He's hoping to pull the republican party off of a steady diet of the musty 60+ voter mentality easily influenced by mainstream media. I think republicans recognize if they don't change in this election they will be run over by young diverse Dems especially if they elect the Black JFK (Obama). I think you will see more attention paid to Paul in the mainstream media because they're forced to report on a steady climb in primaries-I think his campaign is to run till the convention.
Paul is the republican 'safety valve' at the convention.
If he garners sufficient support thru the convention the republican leadership will have to negotiate either put him on the ticket or offer him a high profile post in a republican administration to prevent him from going to the libertarian camp since in a 2 party system all it does is draw votes from republicans.
On the dems side I still think Clinton even with her star power will not be enough to win a general election for the dems. In fact all I've ever read about is how the republican party bosses hope to run against a clinton ticket.
The Bloomberg pose is a 'status quo geezer' vote sucker from both parties.
Well...yes. Sorry, it's nice to speculate who people will pick to run the United States gov't. Naturally, it does influence space policy in a big way. Personally I value substance over style in a party and its candidate for president. Although the U.S. is in recession; this election year has already educated Americans on what is needed to correct failed policies. If Americans don't heed the warnings then it would not be from lack of message Dr. Paul has at least provided the message, it's up to the electorate to chose a direction to take the country and ultimately a level of space achievements in the future.
From what I hear, both parties do not plan on making anything big in space anytime now. And like I said, space is just isn't important right now. Nuclear or otherwise. I would like nothing else but to see another moon landing on my TV, but a more stable future is more important. Space will be part of that future, just not now.
I disagree--space, and specifically space industrialization, is the one thing that will accelerate the economy enough so that we can address the other dozen or so major problems facing all of us, not just US citizens: energy and resource supplies; food shortages; fresh, clean drinking water; disease; etc, etc; the list goes on and on. Many of these problems can be directly and/or indirectly linked to supplies of inexpensive energy...though it seems incredible, a global cheap, plentiful energy supply will go a long way to tackling many 'traditional' problems...
Exploitation of space resources for energy production/utilization on Earth will be among the most economical uses of space resources here on Earth. The alternative is the laissez-faire policy that we seem to be inflicted with in perpetuaty. Our politicians need to become aware of the need to develop policies that will make us energy independent.
I don't see any major conflict with space policy and energy policy. Both should be pursued at the same time. In fact there are areas where they are complimenatry. For example many idea used in the alternative energy would had their major advanced in space R&D, i.e. solar cells and fuel cells. Plus space R&D has always had a major economic mulitplier. It is true that now U.S. campaign is the focused on space. Our role is to lead the public and politicians not follow them!
The way I see it--and this is a direction of research that I am pursuing--is to see what space infrastructure is needed to support a nuclear powered deep space vehicle for transport to and from Near Earth Orbit crossing asteroids and comets--the idea being to first exploit volatiles mined from dormant or extinct comet nuclei to supply and fill a propellant/materials storage depot located in high orbit (perhaps at a liberation point somewhere near the moon,) and then using those volatiles as reaction mass for a metal-asteroid mining expedition...
It sounds completely far fetched or even science fiction--but looking at the initial numbers for a nuclear/vasimir propelled vehicle processing multiple propellant streams suggests that economically viable quantities of PGM's (platinum group metals) can be returned in quantity to earth. Platinum, ruthenium, and rhodium are among the most valuable materials that could be returned--because of their immediate economic value as catalysts these metals currently fetch: platinum--$1550US per ozt; rhodium--$6,920 per ozt [from www.kitco.com] ruthenium--about $400US per ozt.
With the current interest in synthetic fuels (Fischer-Tropsch synthesis uses ceramic catalysts based on iron oxide and use cobalt doped with platinum, ruthenium and rhodium in significant quantites as reaction activaters, promoters, and suppressors for unwanted side reactions...) Clean air vehicles, especially those using fuel cells will require even more platinum and rhodium in quantity. The demand for these metals will only rise, and so will their cost. Catalyst failure is the primary reason why these things have a limited life--so increasing the quantities of these materials in the catalyst beds will only increase the usable service life of these devices...especially in automotive fuel cells...
Supplying more PGMs in quantity and at reasonable cost will mean longer lived, yet still reasonably priced fuel cells to power tomorrow's vehicles...